| AFC
East
*New England Patriots - The offense
remains virtually intact, the one key loss
being WR Donte Stallworth, but the Patriots
have confidence in his replacement, Jabar Gaffney,
who may have finally found a home in New England.
The key loss on defense is big one, CB Asante
Samuel who signed a big free-agent contract
with Philadelphia. His replacement will most
likely be newly signed Deltha O'Neal, who has
been a ball hawk throughout his career. Rookie
CB Terrance Wheatley will be in the mix as
well. The linebacking corps got a much-needed
infusion of youth with rookies Jerod Mayo and
Shawn Crable, the kind of versatile linebackers
Belichick loves. First rounder Mayo is slated
to start on the inside replacing Junior Seau,
while Crable will spell Vrabel and Adalius
Thomas on the outside.
Depending on Brady's health the offense should
remain deadly. They should continue to go
with 3 wide receiver sets to let Welker
operate in the slot where he is most effective.
With Moss as deadly as ever and good complementary
recievers in Gaffney, TE Ben Watson, and
RB Kevin Faulk, the Patriot passing game
will likely put up big numbers again. Look
for the Patriots star studded offensive
line to reassert themselves after their
poor showing in the Super Bowl.
Belichick
will likely reel in the offense a bit,
looking to keep Brady as clean as possible
for a playoff push. Look for more of an emphasis
on running the ball late in games. The
Patriots face a soft schedule this year
and likely will have many games wrapped
up by the end of the third quarter. This
will also help the defense stay fresh late
in the season. With Tedy Bruschi, Rodney
Harrison, and company, they could use the
help.
The defense should again be solid, and will
be helped by the addition of young legs. The
only concern will be the secondary, with the
loss of Samuel and the advanced age of Harrison.
The Patriots will need the pass rush to be
solid to help them out. Their opponents will
likely be forced to abandon the running game
early in the second half , which should give
them many opportunities for turnovers.
The
biggest question concerning this team will
be how they will handle the disappointment
of losing the Super Bowl. Belichick is arguably
the best coach in football but this is uncharted
territory. Keeping Brady healthy will be
the key of course as it’s hard to picture
Matt Cassel or rookie Kevin O'Connell leading
this team. They should cruise through the
regular season again and will look to redeem
themselves in the playoffs. This team should
at least win 12 games, but with all this talent
an undefeated season is not out of the question.
New
York Jets - The Jets spent a TON
of money in the offseason, handing out huge
contracts on both sides of the ball. In an
effort to shore up the line they signed Pro
Bowl LG Alan Faneca from the Steelers and
RT Damien Woody formerly of the Lions. The
Jets also signed a new fullback in veteran
Tony Richardson. Rookie TE Dustin Keller
could be the receiving threat in the middle
of the field the team has been looking for.
On defense the Jets threw money at DT Kris
Jenkins and OLB Calvin Pace. Jenkins has
battled injury problems and the Jets are
gambling that his 350 lbs will clog the middle
over a full season. Pace was a disappointment
before last season, finishing with 6.5 sacks
before cashing in with the Jets.
LB
Vernon Gholston of Ohio State was selected
with the 6th overall pick of the draft. Hopefully
for the Jets he will combine with Pace
to provide the pass rush the team lacked last
season. LB Jonathan Vilma was traded to
New Orleans. He was out of place in the Jets
3-4 alignment and has battled knee problems.
Of course the biggest offseason acquisition
was a certain QB from Green Bay. DT Dwayne
Robertson was dealt to Denver. He never
lived up to his potential and also a poor fit
for the 3-4.
The
Brett Favre saga finally came to an end when
the Jets swooped in snatched him in a trade
with the Packers. Favre showed he still had
something left in the tank last season with
28 TD passes, leading Green Bay to a 13-3 record.
Obviously Favre will be the key, if he can
stay healthy and productive for yet another
season the Jets should be a playoff team.
The Jets have gambled big, hoping the obscene
amount of money they shelled out will lead
to a playoff run. Feeling the pressure since
their cross-town rivals the Giants won the
Super Bowl, GM Mike Tennenbaum was handed the
keys to the vault, which he quickly emptied.
How wisely he spent those dollars remains to
be seen, as most of the players he signed are
on the wrong side of 30.
The
offense should be much improved with Favre
under center, Cotchery is an up and coming
receiver and Coles can still get deep. Thomas
Jones has nowhere to go but up after last season's
dismal showing. Running behind Faneca should
help. Look for RB Leon Washington to be a bigger
part of the offense this year, as he is easily
their most dynamic open field runner. The defense
will need a strong push from the line to allow
the linebackers to make plays. Jenkins may
be the key. If he can stay healthy and anchor
the middle this defense could be very good.
DE Shaun Ellis needs to bounce back from a
down year.
This team is tough to gauge. They could end
up at one extreme or another. The free agent
signings could flop and doom this team for
seasons to come or they might have some life
left in them and make one last run. Either
way this is a team built for the present. If
things don't work out, Tennenbaum and Mangini,
will likely be looking for employment elsewhere.
6-10 to 10-6 is my guess.
Buffalo
Bills - The notoriously stingy Bills
barely dipped a toe in free agency, signing
LB Kawika Mitchell from the Giants. Mitchell
was had an excellent season and playoff run
and brings a Super Bowl ring with him to
the Bills defense. The Bills other major
move was trading for DT Marcus Stroud from
Jacksonville. He battle injuries last season
and could be the big run stuffer this team
needs. The draft brought CB Leodis McKelvin
of Troy in the first round and tall WR James
Hardy in the second. Both should be starters
right away.
A young team that appears to be on the way
up, but has several huge question marks.
QB Trent Edwards is talented but was never
a big time winner in college, and it remains
to be seen if he has what it takes to succeed
at the pro level. The addition of Hardy
as a big target should help but rookie
WR's rarely make a big impact. Handing
off to stud RB Lynch 25 times a game will
be nice but he will have to beat defense
with his arm at some point.
The
huge question heading into the season is the
absence of LT Peters who is still holding out.
Langston Walker moved over to the left
side in preseason but is more suited for
the right side. If Ralph Wilson refuses
to open up the wallet to lock up his franchise
left tackle, Edwards and the offense could
be in real trouble.
The
defense seriously needs a pass rush. Schobel
is getting on in years and Stroud is more of
a run stuffer. Someone needs to emerge to bring
heat on the passer. The LB's look solid with
Posluszny returning. The secondary has talent.
P Brian Moorman was a pro bowler in 06. 6-10
to 9-7 appears to be the range for the
Bills.
Miami Dolphins - The biggest
offseason addition (literally and figuratively)
was the hiring of Bill Parcells as president
of football operations. He quickly dismissed
Cam Cameron as coach and hired Tony Sparano
of Dallas as his replacement. Sparano is a
no-nonsense type in the Tuna mold, but he has
never been a head coach before. The Dolphins
made LT Jake Long of Michigan the number 1
pick of the draft. It remains to be seen if
he has the footwork to play left tackle.
Miami
also signed G Justin Smiley of San Francisco
to further shore up the front line. Chad Pennington
was added after being released from the Jets.
He will likely hold the fort until one of the
young QBs emerges, likely Chad Henne. WR Ernest
Wilford was signed from Jacksonville to provide
a big, veteran possession receiver. TE Anthony
Fasano was acquired in trade.
On defense, Parcells added ILB Akin Ayodele
from Dallas to start next to Crowder. On the
outside Porter will be joined by converted
DE Matt Roth. Free agent addition LB Reggie
Torbor from the Giants figures to be in the
mix somewhere. Up front rookie DE Kendall Langford
should be a good fit for the 3-4. NT Jason
Ferguson will man the nose and DL Randy Starts
should rotate in to help on the pass rush.
The secondary remains largely intact, which
could be a problem.
This team has nowhere to go but up after
the debacle last season. Parcells has a
history of quick turnarounds, but he was
actually coaching those teams. It will
be interesting to see how the team responds
to Sparano, an unknown. This team still
needs at least another solid offseason
or two to build the roster. The offense
should at least be confident. RB Ricky Williams
won the starting job at tailback, and has
looked good in preseason. He should provide
a solid running game as Miami will probably
look to break in Ronnie Brown slowly.
The
defense has some talent in the front seven,
but the secondary looks weak. Sparano is
a defensive coach and might be able to
coach up this unit. This team will likely
look to control the clock on the ground
and try to stay in games and make something
happen late. As it looks right now, the ceiling
appears to be about 6 wins.
AFC North
*Pittsburgh Steelers – The
team is the best overall team in the division
and will repeat as a playoff team. Losing
Alan Fanaca on the offensive line will hurt
but the running combo of rookie Rashard Mendenhall
and a now healthy Willie Parker will keep
the pressure off of quarterback Ben Roethlisberger
Complementing those backs are third year
receiver Santonio Holmes, veteran Hines Ward
and tight end Heath Miller.
On
defense the team still will struggle with teams
with great wideouts and give up some points
(i.e. Cleveland and Cincinnati) but they will
stop the run and get pressure on the quarterback.
Look for Lamarr Woodley to step in at linebacker
and get some sacks and Troy Polamalu will
return to his Pro Bowl form at the safety
position. Head Coach Mike Tomlin is tweeking
a nice product and will get results this
year but no Super Bowl. I see a 10-6 season.
Baltimore Ravens – The Ravens think they
have their quarterback of the future in former
Delaware Blue Hen Joe Flacco who will start
to open the season. The team is led by Ray
Lewis at linebacker and the secondary of Chris
McAllister, Ed Reed, Dawan Landry and Samari
Rolle. The defense is solid but needs to pick
it up on turnovers and big plays.
The
offense has some good players but no real game
breakers. Willis McGahee can be a stud at running
back in his second season with the team if
he can stay on the field. Todd Heap is a top
five tight end in the NFL but isn’t a home
run threat and Desmond Mason and Mark Clayton
aren’t either.
The
Ravens will keep themselves in the game with
defense but unless they hold their opponents
to less than 20 points per game they will finish
with a 6-10 record.
*Cleveland Browns –The team missed the
playoffs with a 10-6 record last season and
wasn’t content grabbing Shaun Rogers
from Detroit for the defensive line and wideouts
Kevin Kasper and Donte Stallworth on offense
to help this team get over the playoff hunt.
Head coach Romeo Crennel did his best to keep
his job last season and was rewarded with another
year. Now the mark set will be to make the
playoffs and get the oldest NFL coach a contract
extension. He has an exciting offense with
those previously mentioned additions joining
wideout Braylon Edwards, tight end Kellen Winslow,
Jr. and running back Jamal Lewis. Quarterback
Derek Anderson will not have the same success
because team will have scouted him more but
will still make plays and keep Brady Quinn
on the bench for the season. The key to this
team is their defense, which was terrible against
the run last season. Rogers should help against
the run and another addition at defensive line,
Corey Williams, will also help. The secondary
needs to create turnovers and stop plays from
happening in the middle of field especially.
I see a 11-5 season and a playoff berth.
Cincinnati Bengals – The team has lost
it’s solid running back releasing Rudi
Johnson before the start of the season and
has been dealing with issues off the field
all season starting with wideout Chad Johnson
wanting to be traded and ending with linebacker
Odell Thurman and wideout Chris Henry’s
legal troubles. Head coach Marvin Lewis is
on the hot seat and his players need to step
up but I don’t think it’s enough
this season.
The
team still has holes on defense and needs to
give up more field goals and less touchdowns.
The team also released their long-time offensive
tack Willie Anderson so it will be interesting
to see if quarterback Carson Palmer can improve
on his interceptions and stay on his two feet.
I see a 8-8 season.
AFC South
*Indianapolis Colts – Peyton Manning
is coming off of injury and will be ready for
the regular season. Marvin Harrison has been
low key since his Philadelphia gun incident
and will try and get back into his Pro Bowl
swing of things. The offense also has wideout
Reggie Wayne (the new number one), Anthony
Gonzalez (coming off a nice rookie campaign),
resigned tight end Dallas Clark down the middle
and running backs, Joseph Addai and Dominic
Rhodes, who returns after one year in Oakland.
The
defense returns with a healthy Dwight Freeney
and Bob Sanders and is based on speed and
getting to the quarterback. The team can run
and throw with the league’s best and
will be a threat to go back to the Super Bowl
but this time I think they will come up short.
I see a 12-4 record this season with a home-field
playoff game.
Houston
Texans – Matt Schaub will look
to improve on a mediocre first season as a
starting quarterback and defensive end Mario
Williams along with linebacker DeMeco Ryans
will look to lead the team to the playoffs
in a tough and diverse division. The Texans
have a lot of solid players but besides Andre
Johnson at wide out and the two mentioned above
the team has no game breakers and that could
hurt.
The
team does have some help on kick return as
they resigned Andre Davis and that can shorten
the field but can the offensive line hold
up? Can the defense get solid play from its
secondary? I see this team as an 8-8 team that
won’t make the playoffs again.
Tennessee
Titans – Quarterback Vince
Young is on to a new offensive system (Mike
Heimerdinger is the new offensive coordinator)
and Titans personal hope it leads to more offensive
production. The team has good running back
in LenDale White and recently signed tight
end Alge Crumpler but seems to have no help
at the wideout position and is stuck in the
Donovan McNabb/Michael Vick syndrome. Young
can do a lot with his feet but needs help with
receivers. This will limit the team’s
success.
The
defense is led by Keith Bullock at linebacker
and will hope defensive end Jevon Kearse
can return to a decent level. This team is
similar to Houston in that it has solid players
and besides a superstar in Young doesn’t
have any playmakers. Kyle VandenBosch is
a nice defensive end that can help and the
team has a good secondary led by second year
safety Michael Griffin.
The
team is rebuilding but still wants to put an
competitive product on the field, which is
a tough task. I see a 7-9 season.
*Jacksonville
Jaguars – Quarterback
David Garrard is the man now after the team
let go of the oft-injured Bryon Leftwich. Garrard
reminds me of Donovan McNabb bit and can move
the ball down the field with his arm or legs.
He is similar to McNabb in that he has mediocre
receivers playing with him although wideout
addition Jerry Porter should help a bit. The
team features an awesome running game led by
Maurice Jones-Drew and Fred Taylor and a solid
offensive line.
The
defense is going to miss Marcus Stroud on the
defensive line but still has the stout John
Henderson at tackle and solid players on all
levels of the defense. The defense has the
ability to stop offensive juggernauts cold
or at least slow them down because they tackle
well and are physical in an division not known
for that. The added Drayton Florence at cornerback
and that should help. This team has had some
great battles with consistent division leader
Indianapolis and will continue to. The will
be a 11-5 playoff team and has a great chance
to win the AFC if they can find a way to score
points.
AFC
West
Denver Broncos – The Broncos have a very
slim chance to make the playoffs this year
because they have no consistent running game,
their offensive line is shot especially with
the retirement of veteran Matt Lepsis and they
cant generate a pass rush on defense. Fortunate
for them they play in the AFC West, they have
an offensive genius in Mike Shanahan still
calling plays at the head coach position and
their cornerbacks: Champ Bailey and Dre Bly
are two of the best I see a 7-9 record this
season.
*San Diego Chargers – The offense has
the pieces to be one of the best in the AFC
with tight end Antonio Gates, wideout Chris
Chambers, LaDainian Tomlinson and quarterback
Phillip Rivers. Their defense has perennial
all-pros Shawn Merriman at linebacker and Luis
Castillo on the defensive line along with Quentin
Jammer and Antonio Cromartie at cornerback.
Merriman is going to play this season despite
two torn knee ligaments. I think this team
goes 11-5 this season and makes the conference
championship game.
Oakland Raiders – This
team is in a semi-rebuilding process and they
have two key positions filled in running back
and quarterback in Darren McFadden and JaMarcus
Russell respectively. The team also has wideout
Javon Walker and second year tight end Zach
Miller to throw to. On defense, longtime stalwart
defensive tackle Warren Sapp retired and the
team picked up cornerback DeAngelo Hall giving
them a strong young secondary. Hall is joined
by free agent signee Gibril Wilson, formerly
of the Super Bowl champion New York Giants,
Michael Huff at safety and Nmandi Asomunga
in the other quarterback slot. I think they
will win 7-9 pulling off a few upsets and setting
up a playoff run next season.
Kansas City Chiefs – The team lost some
of it’s best offensive linemen in the
last three years and running back Larry Johnson
is a down hill runner who needs solid blocking
to be the 1500 yard back we all expect. The
quarterback position is not exceptional with
Brock Huard and Brodie Croyle fighting for
time. Wideout Dwayne Bowe had a nice second
season and can help either quarterback succeed
but this team is the worse in the AFC West
and maybe the AFC as a whole. I see a 5-11
record this season.
*
indicates playoff team
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